The Pacific Record
Issue VI · The National Map

The Blueprint. What happens when the rest of the country follows Pacifica's lead.

Hawaii has a sovereignty movement older than its statehood. New England just filed a seven-state joint lawsuit today. Colorado and Minnesota are net federal contributors watching their money fund their own marginalization. New York is the financial capital of a country threatening to govern it as a province. The Pacifica question is not regional. It is national — and it is accelerating.

Issue VI June 2026 18 min read

Pacifica did not invent the idea that a region might govern itself better than a distant federal government. It refined it, documented it, and made the economic case for it. Now other regions are asking the same question — some loudly, some quietly, some with centuries of grievance behind them.

This issue maps the national landscape: which regions have the assets, the political conditions, and the existing infrastructure to follow a similar path; which face structural obstacles that make the question far more complicated; and what a practical blueprint looks like for any state or region considering where to begin.

We also note, with some precision, that the Pacifica model is not secession. It is democratic self-determination through existing legal mechanisms — regional compacts, parallel institutions, coordinated governance, and conditional loyalty to a federal compact that must be earned. That distinction matters enormously for how other states should think about their options.

What Americans Already Think
27%
Americans who believe states have a right to secede if their population supports it
YouGov · Feb 2026 · n=26,590
18%
Would want their state to form a new country with other states if it seceded
YouGov · Feb 2026
14%
Would want their state to join Canada — the same option Pacifica is considering
YouGov · Feb 2026
The Regional Landscape
Active · Already Building
Pacifica
California · Oregon · Washington

The model. Six documented joint governor actions since 2025. A parallel health institution. International climate agreements. Active litigation defiance. A combined GDP of $5.1 trillion that makes the economic case self-evident.

Pacifica's advantage is structural: three governors who are already coordinating, a clear Canada option for currency and defense, and an economic base that needs no outside subsidy. The blueprint being built here is the one every other region will reference.

Core assets
$5.1T GDP Pacific ports Clean energy Tech sector Canada border 3 aligned governors
Active · Joint Legal Action
New England & Northeast
NY · MA · CT · RI · VT · ME · NJ · NH

The Northeast is already operating as a bloc. Today — June 2, 2026 — seven northeastern states filed a joint federal lawsuit over the Trump administration's cancellation of a major offshore wind project. New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont, Maine, and Rhode Island acting in coordinated legal unison is not symbolic. It is governance by another name.

New York alone contributes more to the federal budget than it receives back. Massachusetts leads a multistate vaccine coordination effort. Vermont and Maine post the highest Trump disapproval rates in the nation at 78%. New England also shares Canada's longest land border — the same geographic asset that makes Pacifica's northern option viable.

Core assets
NYC finance Harvard / MIT / Yale Pharma corridor Canada border Atlantic ports Net fiscal donors
Key complicationNew York's political diversity — from Manhattan to Upstate — mirrors Pacifica's coastal/rural divide. New Jersey and Connecticut are net donors; other states less so. A unified Northeast compact requires more internal negotiation than Pacifica's relatively aligned three-state bloc.
Deep History · Active Movement
Hawaiʻi
Hawaiian Islands · Pacific Strategic Position

Hawaii's case is categorically different from every other state's — and older. The Hawaiian Kingdom was an internationally recognized sovereign nation until a U.S.-backed coup in 1893 overthrew Queen Liliʻuokalani. Nearly 38,000 Hawaiians — approximately 95% of the native population at the time — signed the Kūʻē petitions opposing annexation. The United States Congress formally apologized for the overthrow in 1993 (Public Law 103-150).

The sovereignty movement is active, organized, and legally sophisticated, currently arguing its case before federal courts and international bodies simultaneously. Hawaii posts 78% Trump disapproval — tied for the highest in the nation. The Nation of Hawaiʻi holds active working groups on governance, tourism, and economic independence.

Hawaii's position in the Pacific also makes it strategically critical — and strategically distinct. Its independence pathway runs less through Canada and more through Pacific partnerships: Japan, the Marshall Islands, and existing Compact of Free Association frameworks already in place with Pacific Island nations.

Core assets
Pacific strategic position Tourism economy International legal basis Indigenous governance frameworks Pacific Island partnerships
Key complicationHawaii's military dependence is acute — Pearl Harbor and other federal installations represent a significant share of the state's economy. The sovereignty question is also complicated by competing claims between Native Hawaiian sovereignty organizations, non-native long-term residents, and recent migrants. The movement has not yet unified around a single governance model.
Early Stage · Values Mismatch Growing
Mountain West
Colorado · New Mexico · Nevada · Arizona

Colorado is the sleeper in this conversation. It is a net federal fiscal contributor, home to a booming tech and aerospace sector anchored by Denver and Boulder, and has seen its political character shift dramatically toward the urban-educated professional class that drives the Pacifica economic argument. Governor Jared Polis has been among the most vocal governors on federal overreach, positioning Colorado as a laboratory for progressive governance independent of federal direction.

New Mexico has a unique indigenous sovereignty layer — over 20 federally recognized tribal nations — that gives the state a political texture closer to Hawaii than to Colorado. Nevada's Las Vegas economy is trade-dependent and tourism-dependent in ways that make federal relationship complexity acute. Arizona is genuinely divided and does not belong in a regional bloc without significant caveats.

Core assets
Aerospace / defense tech Water rights (complex) Clean energy potential University system Rocky Mountain tourism
Key complicationThe Mountain West is landlocked. Unlike Pacifica and New England, it has no port infrastructure, no Canada border option for most states, and no Pacific trade gateway. Economic independence requires overland trade relationships with states that may be hostile to the premise. This is the most significant structural barrier of any region considered here.
Early Stage · Industrial Assets
Great Lakes Corridor
Michigan · Minnesota · Wisconsin · Illinois

Michigan and Minnesota are the strongest candidates in the Midwest for regional governance thinking. Michigan controls the largest freshwater system in the world — the Great Lakes, which hold approximately 21% of the world's surface fresh water. In an era of accelerating climate stress, that resource has geopolitical value that dwarfs most other assets any American state controls. Minnesota is a consistent net federal fiscal contributor and borders Canada along a 547-mile stretch.

Illinois anchors the region with Chicago — the third-largest city in the country and a major financial, logistics, and cultural center. The Great Lakes states already coordinate on water management through existing interstate compacts, providing an institutional precedent for deeper cooperation.

Core assets
Great Lakes freshwater Chicago finance & logistics Auto manufacturing Canada border (MN) Agricultural base
Key complicationWisconsin is genuinely competitive politically and does not align cleanly with its neighbors. Michigan's industrial regions and its college-town corridors have sharply different political cultures. A Great Lakes compact would require bridging those divisions in ways Pacifica does not face at the same scale.
Complex · Different Dynamics
The South & Southeast
Texas · Georgia · Florida · Virginia · North Carolina

Texas is worth noting separately. It has its own independence movement, its own power grid, its own mythology of self-sufficiency, and — critically — a GDP of approximately $2.6 trillion that makes it the economic peer of Pacifica. Texas's independence conversation is driven by different values than Pacifica's, but the structural logic is similar: a large, economically self-sufficient state with a distinct political culture that increasingly diverges from the national governing coalition.

Virginia and North Carolina are battleground states with significant federal employment bases — Northern Virginia in particular is deeply integrated with federal agencies. Georgia has Atlanta, one of the country's major economic centers, but the state's political diversity makes regional bloc formation extremely complex.

Note
Texas: $2.6T GDP Texas: independent power grid Gulf ports Energy production
Key distinctionTexas's independence argument runs in the opposite political direction from Pacifica's — toward less federal regulation, not democratic accountability. This is not a contradiction of the Pacifica model; it is a demonstration that the underlying logic — regional self-determination — transcends partisan alignment. The framework works regardless of which direction a region wants to go.
Three Paths Forward
Path A
Sequential Regional Compacts

Pacifica moves first and most completely. New England follows with its own parallel compact — health, energy, trade — building on the seven-state legal coordination already underway. Hawaii pursues its own track simultaneously, with a Pacific-oriented framework distinct from the continental compacts.

The effect: The United States finds itself governing a diminished geographic and economic core as its most productive peripheries build parallel governance infrastructure. This does not require coordination between regions — each acts in its own interest. The cumulative effect on federal authority is the same whether they coordinate or not.

PRECEDENT: EU member states built parallel institutions over decades before formalizing. The Pacifica model compresses that timeline under crisis pressure.
Path B
A Democratic Coalition of States

Rather than independent regional compacts, the 19 states that voted for Kamala Harris in 2024 form a formal governing coalition — the "United Blue States" framework discussed in academic circles. A combined population of approximately 140 million. A combined GDP that would rank second in the world.

The effect: This is the most politically charged and constitutionally complex option. It essentially creates a shadow federal government with democratic legitimacy derived from popular vote. It would face immediate legal challenge, but its political power would be immense — and its economic leverage over the remaining states would be decisive.

POLLING: 18% of Americans would support their state forming a new country with other states. Among residents of Harris-winning states, that number is almost certainly higher.
Path C
The Canada Gravitational Pull

Canada's gravitational pull extends beyond Pacifica. New England shares a long, largely open border. Minnesota shares 547 miles with Ontario and Manitoba. Hawaii shares Pacific trade infrastructure with Canadian ports. A Canada integration scenario that began with Pacifica could, over time, draw multiple U.S. regions into closer orbit — creating a de facto North American democratic realignment without requiring formal political union.

The effect: Canada becomes the anchor institution for democratic governance on the continent's productive periphery. This is not farfetched. 14% of Americans already say they'd want their state to join Canada if it seceded — making it the most popular single-destination option in current polling.

California already signed a climate MOU with the UK. New England's governors coordinate with Canadian provinces on energy. The relationships exist. The question is whether they formalize.
The Blueprint
A practical framework for any state or region considering where to begin. Based on what Pacifica has already demonstrated works.
01
Phase One · Foundation
Document the fiscal relationship honestly
Before any political move, establish the economic record. How much does your state send to the federal government? How much comes back? What federal programs flow through your state, and which ones are being cut? The argument that earns public support is a factual one.
  • Commission or cite independent GDP / fiscal flow analysis
  • Map which federal programs your residents depend on
  • Document every federal cut or funding threat since 2025
  • Publish it. All of it. With sources.
02
Phase Two · Alignment
Find your neighboring governors and build the first compact
No state does this alone. Identify the one or two neighboring states with aligned political conditions and begin with the least controversial domain — public health is where Pacifica started, and it worked. A regional health alliance requires no constitutional amendment and no federal permission.
  • Identify 1–2 neighboring governors with aligned interests
  • Start with a domain the federal government has already abandoned (public health, climate, labor)
  • Issue a joint statement — the political signal matters as much as the policy
  • Build the institution second; build the relationship first
03
Phase Three · Infrastructure
Build the parallel institutions domain by domain
Health. Energy. Education standards. Labor protections. Trade policy where permissible. Each domain where a regional body establishes governing capacity is a domain where federal withdrawal or hostility can be absorbed. You are not building a replacement government — you are building resilience against the failure of the existing one.
  • Prioritize domains where federal capacity is visibly degrading
  • Use existing interstate compact law — it requires no federal approval
  • Connect your regional institutions to their equivalents in Canada where applicable
  • Keep the legal architecture clean and publicly documented
04
Phase Four · The Ballot
Let the residents decide — formally, on the record
When the institutional foundation is built and the political conditions are right, a non-binding referendum on regional autonomy is the democratic signal that turns a governance project into a movement. It does not require secession. It requires a question and a vote. The Scotland model: ask clearly, count honestly, let the result speak.
  • Frame the question around autonomy and democracy, not secession
  • Non-binding referenda are constitutionally available in most states
  • A 40%+ yes vote is a mandate even if it doesn't win outright
  • The campaign itself educates the public regardless of the result
The Pacifica model is not a regional curiosity. It is a template for how democratic governance survives when the institution meant to guarantee it fails to do so.

What separates the regions most likely to follow Pacifica's lead from those that won't is not political will — it is economic self-sufficiency and geographic access to democratic alternatives. New England has both. Hawaii has a unique historical claim and Pacific alternatives. The Great Lakes have freshwater leverage that will only grow. The Mountain West faces a structural landlocked barrier that makes the calculus more difficult.

Texas is the most interesting counterpoint: a state with Pacifica-level economic independence and a diametrically opposite political direction. The Pacifica blueprint is not ideologically exclusive. Any region with sufficient economic mass and a coherent political identity can apply it. Texas's independence movement and Pacifica's are not allies — but they are, structurally, the same argument. Self-determination is not a left-wing idea. It is an old one.

The question that November 3rd will begin to answer is whether any of this becomes necessary. A functioning democratic check on federal overreach — a Democratic House, a narrowed Senate majority, a restored institutional balance — changes the calculus for every region considering these options. The blueprint does not disappear. It goes back into the drawer. Ready for the next time someone in Washington decides that the country's most productive regions can be governed as colonies.

They cannot. This is what the blueprint looks like when they try.

Sources & References

  1. YouGov secession polling (Feb. 2026) — 27% right to secede, 18% new country, 14% join Canada: Newsweek, "Map shows states where support for seceding from US is rising" (Feb. 13, 2026). newsweek.com
  2. California 29% secession support; YouGov state-level data: YouGov, "The states whose residents are most likely to support secession." yougov.com
  3. Seven northeastern states joint lawsuit on offshore wind (June 2, 2026): CT News Junkie, "CT Joins Six Northeastern States In Lawsuit Against Trump Administration Over Offshore Wind Project." ctnewsjunkie.com
  4. Hawaii sovereignty — 1893 overthrow, Kūʻē petitions, 1993 Apology Resolution: Nation of Hawaiʻi, "Hawaiian Sovereignty: History, Legal Status" (April 2026). nationofhawaii.org
  5. Hawaii / Vermont 78% Trump disapproval (highest nationally): Newsweek, "Map Shows Trump Approval Rating in Every State After 15 Months" (April 21, 2026). newsweek.com
  6. "United Blue States" combined population ~140M: Free Inquiry / Secular Humanism, "Secession" (Dec. 2024). secularhumanism.org
  7. Secession movements in 12 US states: Mises Institute, "State to State Secession Movements" (March 2025). mises.org
  8. Hawaii's Nation of Hawaiʻi working groups (active 2026): Nation of Hawaiʻi, official site. nationofhawaii.org
  9. California–UK Climate and Energy MOU (Feb. 16, 2026): Wikipedia, UK–California Climate and Energy Agreement. en.wikipedia.org
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